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Unlocking £3.5M Profit Uplift with Retail Clearance Optimisation

QuantSpark developed a custom clearance tool for a retail client, optimising markdown strategies and workflow to unlock a £3.5m annual profit uplift opportunity and dramatically reduce labour.

21 April 20265 min read
Headline result
£3.5M
Annual Profit Uplift Opportunity
At a glance
£3.5M
Annual Profit Uplift Opportunity
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01 · Challenge

What was the problem?

The client faced a significant business problem: ineffective clearance of marked-down stock, leading to excess inventory and unrealised profit. Teams struggled with a lack of suitable tools to effectively and accurately execute clearance operations and use data-driven insights for efficient markdown strategies. This resulted in a build-up of stock in stores and back-of-store warehouses. A thorough Pareto analysis revealed that a significant percentage of these challenges stemmed from specific SKUs like homeware and furniture, which lacked the clear clearance deadlines seen in seasonal goods.

02 · Approach

What did QuantSpark do?

QuantSpark developed the Client Clearance Tool, a revolutionary solution involving two key innovations:

  1. Workflow Optimisation Tool: This quick-win solution streamlined the execution of general merchandise clearance stock. It automated manual processes, reducing dependency on Excel macro tools, and enhanced efficiency and accuracy. The final solution was a fully productionised web application hosted on the client’s AWS infrastructure, allowing users to easily upload clearance lists, diagnose data quality issues, and generate accurate final lists.
  2. Predictive Model for Optimal Markdown Strategies: This high-value solution generated recommendations for the most optimal markdown strategy at the individual Stock Keeping Unit (SKU) level. The model guided decisions on appropriate timing and discounts to apply to each SKU, maximising profitability and ensuring all stock was sold within the clearance window.

The Model Methodology for calculating SKU-level markdown strategies encompassed:

  • Sales Prediction: A linear regression model predicted the percentage change in volume sold (uplift) for a specific SKU at a given discount. SKUs were grouped into segments to enhance accuracy, and historical sales data (especially promotional and clearance events) was used for training.
  • Optimisation: Based on predicted uplifts, the markdown strategy was fine-tuned considering parameters like stock proportion to clear and clearance deadlines. This involved varying discount depth, duration, and frequency to identify the best results, providing an overview of margin and stock implications.
  • Optimal Strategy: The model calculated all possible markdown strategies, filtering them based on profit margin and stock thresholds to maximise both profit and stock cleared within constraints. The output was a dynamic, customised optimal discount strategy for each SKU, balancing clearance and margin maintenance.

The technology stack used Streamlit, a Python-based front-end components package, which significantly reduced development time by allowing the team to focus on core model logic and workflow enhancement.

03 · Results

What changed?

The Client Clearance Tool delivered major benefits:

  • Substantial Profit Uplift: The solution unlocked an addressable £3.5 million annual profit uplift opportunity by using historical sales data to model optimal markdown strategies for each SKU, maximising profitability and ensuring stock clearance within specified windows.
  • Dramatic Workflow Improvement: The workflow tool reduced the time for merchandisers to execute clearance lists from up to 90 minutes to just 5 minutes, significantly enhancing efficiency and accuracy in operations.
  • Foundation for Long-term Development: The tool laid the groundwork for a long-term product development roadmap, poised to optimise further General Merchandise categories beyond clothing, fostering ongoing innovation and adaptability for the client.
  • Labour Reduction: Workflow improvements led to dramatic labour reduction.

Figures are drawn from completed QuantSpark engagements. Clients are anonymised by agreement; on a call we will walk you through how each number was measured and, where the client has agreed, put you in touch with a reference.

Introduction

To thrive in retail’s fast-paced environment, companies must relentlessly reinvent themselves through bold innovation and unwavering dedication to understanding and fulfilling the changing priorities of customers and the business. At QuantSpark, we relish the opportunity to apply advanced analytics and new technology in a commercial setting regardless of the size of the challenge. One crucial aspect of retail management is the efficient clearance of discontinued stock – a task that, until recently, lacked the right tools and strategies. Enter the Client Clearance Tool, a revolutionary solution developed by QuantSpark for our retail client, designed to transform the way clearance operations are conducted.

Solving Clearance Stock Build-up

A key factor in the success of many retailers is the ability to supply to customers while keeping unsold stock to a minimum. Too much stock impacts production and storage costs, too little stock affects customer loyalty. The Client Clearance Tool was developed by QuantSpark to solve a major business problem for a retail client - ineffective clearance of marked-down stock resulting in excess inventory.

Unveiling the Big Idea

The journey towards creating the Client Clearance Tool began with a simple yet profound question during the discovery phase: “Why is there a build-up of General merchandise clearance stock in our warehouse?” In response, we identified two areas of immense value where we could craft innovative solutions to address this problem.

The Power of Predictive Modelling

To tackle these challenges head-on, the Client Clearance Tool applied predictive modelling. Historical SKU sales data played a pivotal role in crafting the optimal markdown strategy. What did “optimal” mean in this context? It meant ensuring that all stock was sold within the given clearance window while retaining the maximum possible profit. This innovative approach transformed clearance operations, making them more precise and profitable than ever before.

We conducted a thorough Pareto analysis revealing that a significant percentage of the challenges in making effective markdown decisions stemmed from a specific subset of SKUs. These SKUs fell into categories such as home ware and furniture, and others with minimal seasonal impact. Interestingly, the analysis also highlighted that seasonal SKUs enjoyed a more straightforward process of being discontinued, exited, and sold. This was due to the inherent nature of seasonal goods, which come with clear clearance deadlines. Take Halloween, for example. The external factors, including additional marketing and the seasonal demand for Halloween products, created a sense of urgency that propelled effective strategies by Merchandising teams for clearing this stock.

Key Innovations Achieved

  • Sales uplift forecasting: Predicted impact of discounts on sales volume.
  • Automated data cleaning: Diagnosed and guided resolution of data quality issues.
  • £3.5m profit uplift opportunity: Through data-driven markdown strategies.
  • Long-term product roadmap: Laid the foundation for ongoing innovation.

Building the Client Clearance Tool

Workflow Optimisation

The final solution was a fully productionised web application hosted on the client’s AWS infrastructure that allowed end users to log in using their secure single sign-on credentials. The tool allowed end users to drag and drop their excel clearance list into the web application using an easy to use, clean user interface. The application would then clean the excel file, diagnosing data quality issues and the advising on resolution steps. Following end user resolution, the app would generate a final clearance list, allowing end users to action the markdown with full confidence in the accuracy of the list.

Markdown Strategy Model

The model was delivered as a proof of concept ready to be fully productionised into the workflow Streamlit web application. The model proved the efficacy of the methodology and the ability to generate recommendations across all of the in scope SKUs, proving out the potential return on investment through making data driven decision for SKU level markdown strategies.

Conclusion: How our Client Clearance Tool can work for other retailers

In conclusion, the Client Clearance Tool represents a pivotal moment in the retail industry’s evolution. It was born from the desire to solve complex business problems, enhance decision-making through predictive modelling, and optimise clearance operations by using data and insights. As the retail landscape continues to shift, tools like the Client Clearance Tool will remain indispensable, empowering retailers to make smarter, more profitable decisions.

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